MLB odds: Adley Rutschman making late Rookie of Year charge
By Edward Egros
FOX Sports MLB Betting Analyst
Class is back in session!
Today, we are updating a previous lesson on MLB Rookie of the Year futures. Specifically, let’s look at an interesting trend in the American League.
Not only is Seattle outfielder Julio Rodriguez one of the main reasons why the Mariners are almost guaranteed to end their postseason drought, he’s been a sizable favorite to win AL Rookie of the Year honors for some time.
Until now.
LOWEST AL ROOKIE OF YEAR ODDS (at FOX Bet) *
Julio Rodriguez, Mariners: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Adley Rutschman, Orioles: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Jeremy Pena, Astros: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
Bobby Witt Jr., Royals: +1700 Bet Boost, was +1500 (bet $10 to win $180 total)
* = as of 8/17/2022
Orioles prospect Adley Rutschman once kicked a 63-yard FG
Orioles prospect Adley Rutschman discusses a record-breaking FG with Jake Mintz and Jordan Shusterman ahead of the MLB ASG Futures Game in Denver.
Earlier this month, Baltimore catcher Adley Rutschman was +4500 to win the award. He has since closed in to where he is now +500 on FOX Bet. Rodriguez remains the favorite at -500, but could this gap narrow even more before the end of the season? And should you invest in Rutschman now or wait for Rodriguez to expect a bigger payout?
You may be wondering why Rutschman is even in this conversation. After all, he’s played 32 fewer games than Rodriguez.
That’s where FanGraphs WAR comes in. It’s a cumulative statistic that does reward increased playing time; however, if a player is performing at an elite level, that will outweigh the lack of games.
In this comparison, Rodriguez has a narrow lead over Rutschman (3.1 vs 3.0) among all AL rookies. Even with the lack of playing time, Rutschman has almost more than made up for it.
Breaking down this metric begins with analyzing their bats:
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